Prem Predict
NextMW 7
Premier League 2026/2027

Predict the Weekend.

Machine-learned forecasts for every Premier League fixture — calibrated HOME / DRAW / AWAY probabilities built from Elo ratings, expected goals, recent form and lineups.

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Match of the Week
EvertonHome · Elo 1609
ChelseaAway · Elo 1638
Too close to call

Probabilities produced by the production model from Elo, recent xG form and venue.

Analyse match
2026/2027 accuracy
50.0%
30 of 60 finished matches called correctly
Vs always picking home
+11.7 pp
Backing the home side every time would score 38.3%
Matches analysed
820
Finished matches with full pre-match context

Coming up · MW 7

5 of 10 fixtures, with the model's pick and how strongly it leans.

View all predictions

Saturday 17 October

EVE
vs
CHE
Too close to call
BRE
vs
LIV
Too close to call
FUL
vs
HUL
Too close to call
MCI
vs
IPS
MCI winStrong favourite
NEW
vs
AVL
NEW winSlight edge

Beat the Model

Think you can out-call the model?

Five real Premier League matches a day, scorelines hidden. Make your calls, then see how the model did on the same games.

Play today's five

From the archive · 2026/2027

The boldest call that landed this season, and the result the model least expected.

Open Model Lab
  • Best call
    NEW2 – 1HUL
    MW 5 · 19 Sept 2026Called at just NEW win 36.8% · and it landed
  • Biggest miss
    NFO0 – 1COV
    MW 5 · 19 Sept 2026Gave COV win 1.2% · it happened